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Tesla: When 2/3 of Valuation Lies in the Future

From EVs to Robotaxi and AI. How Much Faith Justifies Tesla's Valuation?

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Tesla's Q4/2025, on the surface, wasn't a bad quarter:

  • Gross margin rebounds to 20.1%

  • Balance Sheet Remains Rock Solid

  • Balance sheet remains robust with over $37 billion in cash.

But behind those figures lies an undeniable reality:

  • Vehicle deliveries decline -15.6% Y/Y

  • Full-year 2025 revenue falls -3% Y/Y – Tesla's first annual contraction since going public.

  • The auto segment, which accounts for over 70% of revenue, is clearly slowing amid intensifying competition

All market expectations are now pinned on the 'future': Robotaxi, Optimus, AI and a vision far beyond an EV maker.

Thus, Tesla's Q4/2025 is no longer just an earnings puzzle, but a litmus test of whether those grand promises can offset the weakening traditional car sales engine fast enough.

In this week's article, Viet Hustler dissects Tesla's Q4/2025 earnings report with readers and assesses where the growth story stands in its new cycle.

  1. Q4/2025 Earnings Overview

  2. As China Rises and Politics Turns Away: Tesla Losing Ground in EU, Canada, California

  3. Repositioning the EV Business: Ditching 'Premium Automaker' to Pave Way for Autonomous Era

  4. Robotaxi: Ready But Not Yet Scalable

  5. Optimus & Potential SpaceX M&A – Story or Real Strategy?

  6. Biggest Promise: Optimus & Potential SpaceX Merger – Narrative or Strategy?

Tesla (TSLA) releases Q4 2025 financial results: slight beat on earnings |  Electrek

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