MARKET KNOWLEDGE

CoreWeave: Cisco of the AI Era?

Overvalued, too much leverage, but what about the opportunity?

If you missed the best recent articles:

Early 2000, the Dow Theory Letters – a reputable financial publication – published an issue titled “Unsustainable Valuations.”

  • At the top of the list was Cisco: a company with market cap $452 billion, trading at P/E near 150x, expected growth 30%/year.

  • Adjusted to current value, that figure is equivalent to $844 billion.

Cisco at that time was truly a giant.

  • Throughout the 1990s, the company led in connecting disparate computer networks thanks to the invention of the router – the device that opened the global internet era.

  • Revenue exploded from $70 million in 1990 to $19 billion in 2000, average growth rate 66%/year.

  • At that time, Cisco was not at all a “dotcom bubble”. It was a real business with real profits.

But then expectations no longer matched reality.

  • Technology advanced, router replacement capabilities grew, and thousands of competitors racing to expand infrastructure turned seemingly infinite demand into oversupply.

  • Cisco went from growth star to symbol of bubble burst.

This historical lesson reappears when looking at CoreWeave today:

  • An infrastructure product at the center of the AI revolution.

  • Triple-digit growth rate, revenue from $16 million in 2022 to $1.9 billion in 2024.

  • Special relationship with Nvidia, major customers like Microsoft, OpenAI.

  • And by the end of March 2025, CoreWeave officially IPOs on Nasdaq - $CRWV, raising over $1.4 billion at $40/share, pushing company valuation over $35 billion.

    • This is seen as one of the most notable tech deals of 2025 and a key test of market confidence in the “AI wave.”

The question is: Is CoreWeave the Cisco of the 1990s – a truly solid business – or the seed of a new bubble?

In today's analysis, Viet Hustler will explore with readers CoreWeave's business model, competition, finances, prospects, and risks.

  • Overview of CoreWeave

    • Background & Development Journey

    • Leadership Team

  • CoreWeave's Business Model

  • Competitive Advantage Analysis

  • Financial Health Analysis

  • Future Prospects

  • Risks & Challenges

  • Preliminary Valuation

CoreWeave Gets First New, High-End Nvidia AI Chips From Dell - Bloomberg

Viet Hustler is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

Login to read the full article

Create an account to access premium content.

0

Comments (0)

No comments yet

Be the first to comment