MACROECONOMICS

Stubborn inflation and recession risk in Europe: correlation with the US economy

Germany has entered recession. Sticky inflation risk and fragmentation make ECB's battle more protracted than FED's

From an economy maintaining negative interest rates for many years, ECB has had the fastest interest rate hiking cycle in history: from -0.5% to 3.5% in 1 year. Even when Fed paused rate hikes in 06/2023, ECB still maintains a continuous rate hiking stance.

However, despite having a hawkish interest rate policy surpassing even Fed in June, ECB maintains a diverse monetary policy towards member states: simultaneously implementing QT and QE for different member countries. 

  • So, how tense is the current inflation situation in Europe to make ECB react so strongly?

  • How complex is ECB's interest rate and monetary policy unfolding? Will it have any impact on the US economy?

  • Will Europe enter a recession?

    Video: The truth about economic recession?

Viet Hustler will return to Europe in this week's macroeconomics column, to answer the above questions.

Inflation situation in Europe (compared to the US)

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