MACROECONOMICS

Macro outlook before FOMC: impact of employment report and upcoming April data

March employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics pushes back expectations for early Fed pivot. However, excess savings in the population are coming to an end…

Last week's March employment report is the last key labor data before the upcoming FOMC meeting on 05/01. And this employment report reaffirms that the labor market remains strong and completely dispels the Fed's fears of labor recession.

From now until the upcoming meeting, the Fed will closely monitor the remaining important data to be released sequentially over the next 3 weeks, including:

CPI and PPI inflation reports: this Wednesday and Thursday

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