Dallas Fed manufacturing index falls more than expected
Dallas Fed April manufacturing index drops to -14.5, down more than expected (-11.3) and previous month (-14.4)
New orders still in contraction territory
Prices paid decrease
Average workweek improves but still in contraction
High interest rate pressure: Republic First Bank fails + stress in Commercial Real Estate (CRE) market
The high interest rate environment maintained by the Fed continues to pressure the banking system and Commercial Real Estate (CRE) market:
Republic First Bank, following SVB, Signature Bank and FRB, continues to fail due to bond losses…
This bank was shut down by Pennsylvania regulators last Friday - acquired by Fulton (with FDIC support).
Delinquency rates on office/business space leases rise:
43% of small businesses in the US unable to fully pay office rent in April - highest rate since March 2021.
> 50% of small businesses say current rents are higher than 6 months ago.
52% of restaurants have overdue debt…
China: Industrial profits decline - doubts about economic recovery
March industrial companies' profits down -3.5% Y/Y
Q1 cumulative profits up +4.3% Y/Y to 1.5 trillion CNY
China 10-year government bond yield rises to two-month high
PBOC advises commercial banks to limit investments in ultra-long-term bonds to minimize risks.
Japan: Traders short JPY at record levels, signs of BOJ intervention
For the first time since 1990, the Japanese Yen weakens to 160 vs USD.
Total short positions in Yen by hedge funds and asset managers rise to 184,180 contracts - higher than previous week's record short
USD/JPY exchange rate shows signs that some form of intervention to support the Yen was carried out last night/this morning (US time).
However, it seems Viet Hustler analyzes in the Macroeconomics article:
BOJ will not intervene massively by buying large amounts of JPY like in October 2022 — but only gradually.
And the USD/JPY rate around 155-157 seems to be the level BOJ wants to maintain for economic and inflation boosting reasons…
Read more: BOJ last week - Calm amid turbulent markets
Crypto Market: Australia prepares for major Bitcoin ETF launches in 2024
Australian exchange ASX considering approval of first Bitcoin Spot ETF.
Circle's stablecoin surpasses Tether to lead in trading volume.
Russia prepares to completely ban cryptocurrencies as geopolitical tensions rise
Earnings: SoFi, Domino’s Pizza, Philips
SoFi
Revenue: 645 million USD, +37% Y/Y
Lending: Revenue 330.5 million USD, -2% Y/Y, with profit of 207.7 million USD.
Technology platform: Revenue 94.4 million USD, +21% Y/Y, profit +107% Y/Y
Financial services: Revenue 150.6 million USD, +86% Y/Y
Net income: 88 million USD, second consecutive quarter of positive GAAP profit
Customer count: +622,000 new members, bringing total to over 8.1 million.
Domino’s Pizza
Revenue: 1.08 billion USD, +5.9% Y/Y
Domestic stores: +5.6% Y/Y
International stores: +0.9% Y/Y
EPS: 3.58 USD, +22.2% Y/Y
Operating profit: 210.4 million USD, +18.6% Y/Y due to effective cost management.
Dividend: 1.51 USD/share
Philips
Revenue: 4.14 billion EUR, lower than 4.17 billion EUR Q1/2023
Net loss: 998 million EUR
Provisions: 982 million EUR
Key events for the week 04/29 - 05/05
Conference Board Consumer Confidence data - Tuesday
JOLTS job openings data - Wednesday
Fed interest rate decision - Wednesday
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI data - Friday
April jobs report data - Friday
~20% of S&P 500 companies report earnings this week
Other news
UMB acquires rival Heartland Financial USA Inc. for ~2 billion USD (45.74 USD/share)
Oil prices fall as Israel-Hamas ceasefire talks reduce concerns about larger conflict in the Middle East.
China lifts restrictions on Tesla electric vehicles after passing data security requirements => $TSLA up 11%
Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) capability will soon be available in China.
WeWork rejects capital from founder Neumann, secures 450 million USD loan from other lenders, escapes brink of bankruptcy






















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