MARKET DAILY

Market 03/20: FOMC March keeps rates at peak - expectations of soft landing and persistent inflation

Oil prices continue to fall despite declining inventories. Ethereum ETF prepares to list, Bitcoin hashrate hits new record.

As predicted, Fed decides to keep rates at peak: 5.25-5.5%, predicts 3 rate cuts in 2024:

Dot-plot of members shows projected rate at year-end (average of members' views) at ~4.6% , equivalent to 3 cuts (-75bps) this year.

Long-term rate projection (~2.5%) and 2024 projection unchanged - but projections for rates in the next 2 years (2025 - 2026) are both higher than in December.

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