Recession or no recession? Signs from stocks and bonds

Despite positive numbers in the labor market and the Q3 GDP report from earlier, the Treasury bond market heated up more than ever last week with a series of signs pointing to an impending recession. Other important leading indicators also signal the risk of a recession occurring from the end of this year or early next year.

This week's macroeconomics article from Viet Hustler will "take the pulse" of the US economy's health through the important indicators above. Accordingly, Viet Hustler also affirms the change in the Fed's attitude and the importance of next week's employment data for the Fed's interest rate policy at this time.