MARKET DAILY

Midday market 10/26: NASDAQ cools off from tech ER, Visa and small-cap carry SPY

Microsoft, Google raise concerns about growth speed after earnings report but market supported by consumer finance sector and political stability in Europe

Market Recap:

Market opened Thursday's trading session in a fairly mixed state with disappointing ER from 2 tech giants. NASDAQ dropped nearly 2% in the futures session before starting to recover right at the open today with VIX back below 30 and creating small short-covering rallies. Investor sentiment also largely continued to be supported by:

  • Stability in macro policies of FED and ECB, especially European investors on BoE after speech by new UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak this morning.

  • Market optimism entering election season, including Q3 GDP report to be released tomorrow morning.

  • Clarity on corporate earnings outlook.

Heat map shows clear allocation of money flows with mega tech dragging the market down in the morning:

Details on yesterday's ER:

1. Alphabet Q3 FY22

Revenue by segment (growth Y/Y):

  • Advertising $54.5 billion (+3% Y/Y).

    • Google Search & other $39.5 billion (+4%).

    • YouTube ads $7.1 billion (-2%).

    • Google Network $7.9 billion (-2%).

  • Google Cloud $6.9 billion (+38%).

  • Google Other $6.9 billion (+2%).

  • Other $0.2 billion, and hedging $0.6 billion.

Main highlights:

  • Revenue +6% Y/Y $69.1 billion / +11% fx neutral (vs. $70.74 expected).

  • Gross margin 55% (-3pp Y/Y).

  • Operating margin 25% (-7pp Y/Y).

Cash flow:

  • Operating cash flow $23.3 billion (34% margin).

  • Free cash flow $16.1 billion (23% margin).

Balance sheet:

  • Cash, cash equivalent, and marketable securities: $139.7 billion.

  • Long-term debt: $28.4 billion.

2. Microsoft Q1 FY23:

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